Trump or Harris: who will win the 2024 US election?

Article by Carsten Klude

In many ways, you may rub your eyes at what is happening in the American election campaign - but you have to admit: it is not boring. The Republicans have chosen Donald Trump as their presidential candidate and after Joe Biden's withdrawal, his deputy Kamala Harris is now given the best chance of being nominated by the Democrats. Before the decisive phase of the US presidential election campaign begins, we take a look at various issues that will influence the outcome of the election. While in many states it is clear whether the Democrats or the Republicans will win the race, the election outcome will be decided primarily in the so-called swing states, where both candidates have an equal chance of winning the election.

As in every election campaign, economic issues also play an important role in the current debate. But how well or badly is the US economy doing at the moment? Finally, we look at how the capital markets might react to the election outcome.

Read our analysis and find out more!